Fabian
Bonilla.
I build long-horizon decision systems for markets and business — quantitative research, systematic strategy development, and entrepreneurial capital allocation. Each project is documented with its methodology, stack, and execution steps.
Opening Range Breakout Study
Backtesting ORB behavior in SPY with transaction costs, volatility regime filters, and full risk diagnostics. Research-grade evaluation in progress.
Open project →Café Growth & Cash Flow Model
Practical framework for pricing, staffing, and reinvestment decisions under real operating constraints — built from firsthand café ownership.
View framework →Monte Carlo Portfolio Simulator
Scenario engine for return paths, drawdown distributions, and survival-first risk planning.
See quant roadmap →Minimum Wage & Employment (DID)
Difference-in-differences study on policy impact — professional memo format with identification assumptions and robustness checks.
See research →DCF Valuation Template
Revenue drivers, WACC assumptions, and sensitivity analysis in a clean repeatable template.
View modeling →Small Business Acquisition Model
Cash-flow underwriting framework for Georgia-based acquisition opportunities. SBA structuring and DSCR analysis included.
View framework →- 01High risk-adjusted returns over raw performance
- 02Long-term optionality above short-term income
- 03Skill acquisition over income spikes
- 04Durable systems over lucky trades
- 05Ownership over employment
"Return is vanity.
Risk-adjusted return is sanity."
— Fabian Bonilla · fabianb.com